Category Archives: Uncategorized

Someone at Gallup is getting fired

For approaching the truth.

In a few media outlets, the latest Gallup poll on weapons bans is getting traction.

Poll: Majority of Americans Oppose ‘Assault Rifles’ Ban
A Gallup poll released October 19 shows that a majority of Americans oppose passing a ban on “assault rifles.”

According to the poll, 40 percent of Americans support such a ban but 57 percent oppose it. Gallup notes that the 40 percent “support for an assault rifles ban is below the historical average of 47%.”

The numbers are news because they invert years of alleged surveys which indicated massive support for such a ban. For instance:

And yet, here we are in October 2018:

Gallup: In U.S., Support for Assault Weapons Ban at Record Low
In Gallup’s 2016 Crime poll, conducted Oct. 5-9, opposition now exceeds support by 25 percentage points, 61% to 36%.

“Damn it, Swift! Any time the numbers are pro-RKBA, you’re supposed to flip the chart over before releasing it.”

This may be the closest-to-honest poll released by Gallup in years, if not decades. I never believed the previous counter-polls because they never approached the reality expressed in actual popular votes, referendums and initiatives. This new Gallup poll comes closer to matching real-world voting by the people.

People “vote” in other ways, as well. Earlier this year, California reclassified crippled “bullet-button” rifles as “assault weapons” and required they be registered. It’s been estimated that only three percent (3%) were actually registered.

One might expect that registration compliance rate to be a little higher if even 36% percent of folks think they should be banned.

Gallup seems to have stumpled up, and accidentally released, the partial truth of majority opposition to confiscation schemes. But they still haven’t grasped the magnitude of opposition.

Three percent. Compliance. Consider that California laws essentially required every lawful gun owner to be licensed (thus registered), and all firearms sales to be recorded. 97% of registered owners with registered suddenly-assault-weapons blew them off this year. In California.


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Ed. note: This commentary appeared first in TZP’s weekly email alert. If you would like to be among the first to see new commentary (as well as to get notice of new polls and recaps of recent posts), please sign up for our alert list. (See sidebar or, if you’re on a mobile device, scroll down). Be sure to respond when you receive your activation email!

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Tammy Baldwin: Idiot, or 18 U.S. Code § 241/242 conspirator to violate rights?

Tammy Baldwin: Middleton shooting shows need for gun restrictions ‘consistent with the Second Amendment’
The Middleton workplace shooting that injured four people Wednesday shows the need for gun-control measures “consistent with the Second Amendment,” such as requiring universal background checks and banning so-called “bump stocks,” U.S. Sen. Tammy Baldwin said.”

Starting with “bump stocks”… the asshole didn’t use one. In fact, he didn’t use a rifle, much less a semiautomatic rifle.

He used a handgun. And if he tried to mount a stock on that, he’d either need a tax stamp, or be breaking another existing law.

Getting the tax stamp would be problematical since he was a prohibited person, having been involuntarily committed.

As for universal background checks preemptively-prove-your-innocence prior restraint, there seems to be another problem.

Officials say ATF has “run into roadblocks” about the weapon used in the shooting at WTS Paradigm. Chief Foulke said aspects of the weapon are making it difficult for them to trace. The chief said there is “something unique about that weapon” and whose hands it has passed through.

Something about the weapon itself that makes it untraceable? Sounds like the serial number was removed. Obliterating a serial number is unlawful under existing law. Transferring a firearm without a serial number is unlawful under existing law. At a guess, it’s stolen; whether he stole it himself, or bought the stolen weapon through a black market sale.

Either way, I doubt he would have submitted his prohibited self for a background check. 90+% of criminals using firearms in the crimes don’t.

Baldwin, when you figure out a way to get the criminals to obey your gun-control laws, let me know. Until then, STFU about further violations of the rights of people who didn’t do it.


Carl is an unpaid TZP volunteer. If you found this post useful, please consider dropping something in his tip jar. He could really use the money, what with truck repairs and recurring bills. And the rabbits need feed. Truck insurance, lest I be forced to sell it. Click here to donate via PayPal.
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Ed. note: This commentary appeared first in TZP’s weekly email alert. If you would like to be among the first to see new commentary (as well as to get notice of new polls and recaps of recent posts), please sign up for our alert list. (See sidebar or, if you’re on a mobile device, scroll down). Be sure to respond when you receive your activation email!

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Munich 1972

I’ve been watching all the memes and the news about some spoiled overpaid, loser becoming a model for what I feel is an over-rated shoe. If that’s what passes for an athlete and man of valor these days we’ve sunk quite a bit.

Munich, 1972 Athletes

If you want a refresher on what happened,

Remembering Munich 1972

Munich 1972

 

They believed in something and sacrificed everything

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

May their memory be for a blessing.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

הי״ד  השם ינקום דמו  HY”D

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3D Nukes?

The case against 3D-printed guns goes… nuclear?

3D plastic firearms in the bull’s-eye
What do a hydrogen bomb and 3D guns have in common?

More than you may think.

I’ll give Harris this much: they both explode.

“One famous case that raises — but does not resolve — the difficult issues here is The Progressive case from the late 1970s,” said Robert WT Martin, a Sidney Wertimer professor of government at Hamilton. “At issue was the proposed publication of a possible design for a hydrogen bomb. In this instance, a temporary injunction against publication was successfully maintained by the judge for many months. During that time, however, another publication printed information about another design and the government eventually dropped the case (and the original article was published).

I’d say that United States v. Progressive, Inc.‘s precedent does apply, legally and practically.

The Morland article made it into the wild, so the government dropped the case as being moot. DefDist’s files are also in the wild. I have them myself, and have for years.

And I’ll note that in the 39 years since the article was published, not single nuclear weapon has been detonated by a nongovernmental entity anywhere on the planet. Likewise, No crime committed with a plastic Liberator has been reported.

Where the cases differ is this: to the best of my knowledge, the first working nuclear weapon of any type was detonated just 73 years ago. Every nuclear weapon detonated has been a major government project.

But people have been making firearms themselves for nearly a thousand years. Commercial mass production is a rather recent development.

Successful firearms have been made from fairly simple castings, drilled out bar stock, common pipe, manually machined castings, CNC machined castings, and metal-powder deposition. That was never much of a problem.

Suddenly someone has come up with a plastic gun (except that it actually requires metal parts to function, and incorporates even more metal to comply with the Undetectable Firearms Act), which doesn’t work well, is under-powered when it does work, and has a disconcerting tendency to explode. It’s too bulky and awkward to conceal worth a darn. It’s a single shot (even when it doesn’t explode). It’s inaccurate.

And suddenly homemade guns will cause the nuclear end of civilization as we know it.

[Lt. Bryan Coromato, public information officer for the Utica Police Department], who would like to see the guns regulated, noted that the 3D guns are on the newer side and he is not well versed on the subject

One, don’t spout off on the subject when you know nothing about it. Two, All guns are regulated, whether they come from an FFL’s factory, are assembled from plumbing supplies, or are 3D-printed. See above about people making guns for the better part of a millennium.

So, Lieutenant, why does this make you pee your pants, and not this?

By the way, Mr. Harris:

According to published reports, Wilson already has stated he would ignore the judge’s order and said he has begun taking orders.

Wrong. Wilson said he would comply with the order, which specifically allows direct distribution within the United States.


Carl is an unpaid TZP volunteer. If you found this post useful, please consider dropping something in his tip jar. He could really use the money, what with truck repairs and recurring bills. And the rabbits need feed. Truck insurance, lest I be forced to sell it. Click here to donate via PayPal.
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Ed. note: This commentary appeared first in TZP’s weekly email alert. If you would like to be among the first to see new commentary (as well as to get notice of new polls and recaps of recent posts), please sign up for our alert list. (See sidebar or, if you’re on a mobile device, scroll down). Be sure to respond when you receive your activation email!

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PSA: Pro-RKBA Summit Opportunity

I think this is worth passing on.

Pro-gun rights Parkland student Kyle Kashuv invites students to D.C. summit
Outspoken Marjory Stoneman Douglas High student Kyle Kashuv is promoting an expenses-paid trip to a conservative student summit in Washington, D.C., later this month.

The High School Leadership Summit at George Washington University is being hosted by Turning Point USA, a conservative student group founded by gun-rights advocate Charlie Kirk. It’s drawing speakers such as Donald Trump Jr., former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, U.S. Sen. Rand Paul and U.S. Rep. Ron DeSantis.

Students must apply to attend the summit, which is July 23 to 26. Most of the 70 paid places for Stoneman Douglas students have been awarded, but the goal is to get all interested teens from the school to attend, said Kashuv, also Turning Point USA’s director of high school outreach.

The trip, paid for by Turning Point USA, would cover about $325 in airfare, the $15 attendance fee to the summit and lodging. Interested students can go to www.tpusa.com/hsls2018/.

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Estimating Firearms Ownership: A possible direct measurement, and a possible problem

Someone recently stumbled upon a way to estimate firearms ownership in America; a method which I don’t recall seeing used in any published research.

Real estate listings.

It seems a great many online real estate listings with interior photographs show numerous firearms, racks, hunting trophies, reloading equipment, and other direct and indirect indicators of firearms possession, presumably lawful since listers are comfortable with posting the images publicly.

This was a narrow sample of America: single-family dwellings in rural portions of a specific state. But examining a wider selection might be fruitful.

Some advantages of using real estate listings for such an estimate include:

  • Listings can show geographic distribution down to the neighborhood (but it might too cumbersome to go below the county level).
  • Other studies have associated geographic location with political leanings; this could cross-referenced to suggest a firearms ownership/politics correlation which is usually assumed.
  • Likewise could a demographic (race, ethnicity, etc.) be more accurately established.
  • Asking/sale prices may be a proxy for the owner’s economic status.

Sadly, I lack the resources to fund such a study. Nor do I have the knowledge of statistics to conduct it personally. But this is data — if it can be reliably inferred — would be very valuable to many people.

That said, I have to ask: WTF?

A common criticism of telephonic surveys on firearms ownership is, “I’m not going to tell a total stranger on the phone what guns — or other valuables — I have. Maybe it’s really a burglar screening for lucrative targets.”

So why would you post photos, or let your real estate agent do so, of your firearms (or other equipment indicating their presence) complete with your address?


Carl is an unpaid TZP volunteer. If you found this post useful, please consider dropping something in his tip jar. He could use the money, what with truck repairs and recurring bills.

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Ed. note: This commentary appeared first in TZP’s weekly email alert. If you would like to be among the first to see new commentary (as well as to get notice of new polls and recaps of recent posts), please sign up for our alert list. (See sidebar or, if you’re on a mobile device, scroll down). Be sure to respond when you receive your activation email!

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Bump-Fire Ballot Stuffing

As noted earlier, the victim disarmers are hoping to make a lot of last minute pro-ban comments on the “Bump-Stock Type Device” ban rulemaking proposal.

They are now swarming.

If you have not yet commented, this would be a good time to do so. Remember, convincing the ATF not to implement the rule would be great, but by commenting, you can at least let them know we’re watching. Closely.

Direct commenting link.

Comments are due by June 27, 2018, at 11:59 PM ET.


Carl is an unpaid TZP volunteer. If you found this post useful, please consider dropping something in his tip jar. He could use the money, what with truck repairs and bills.

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A referral, not an endorsement

I have a column posted at my personal blog. It espouses a position not endorsed by The Zelman Partisans, which is why it’s on my blog. But I would like people to read it and think about it, and TZP does get more traffic than Random Acts of Gibberish.

Stop Pelosi? What difference does it make?

“Here’s the worst part: Anti-gun Democrats have a SIX-point lead on the generic ballot. It’s time to rally the patriots of the Silent Majority.”

“Will you pledge to keep the House of Representatives out of the hands of Nancy Pelosi?”

As opposed to anti-gun Republicans? Here’s the real problem. Democrats are anti-RKBA for obvious reasons. But so are the Republicans.

For the Republicans, the excuse is always “law and order,” and public safety. Officer safety. Looking like they “care.”

Read the whole thing.

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A license to kill

I know I’m a little behind here, but I wrote to the author of this silly column and wanted to give him a chance to reply.

-crickets-

A Gun Nut’s Guide to Gun Control That Works
The idea is simple but powerful: a federally issued license for simple possession of all semi-automatic firearms. This license would allow us to carefully vet civilian access to semi-automatic weapons, while overriding state-specific weapon bans and eliminating some of the federal paperwork that ties specific firearms to specific owners.

As a gun owner who is active in RKBA circles, I found this federal semiautomatic firearm licensing proposal extremely interesting. I think testing on a small scale to work out the bugs is a good idea. And there will be issues, as the low compliance rate with the NYSAFE licensing requirement has shown.

Since Stokes’ concern is crime, I propose testing his concept on the small subset of Americans responsible for that crime, before implementing it on 55-120 million noncriminal gun owners. 10,000 or so murderers would be a more manageable test group; and it would be cheaper to implement.

In order to reduce crime through licensing, his plan will definitely have to take certain factors into account.

According to DOJ data, approximately 88% of firearms used in crime are stolen. 64% of murderers are prohibited persons by way of prior felony convictions, and more are prohibited through domestic violence misdemeanors, adjudications of mental illness, and other disqualifiers. (My own informal survey of media reports shows that roughly 80% of murders are prohibited for one reason or another, just based on quick web searches; it could be higher since all court transactions wouldn’t turn up in such a public news search.)

Inmate surveys have shown that most criminals obtain their firearms through friends or family members (who might be expected to be aware of the person prohibited status) or blackmarket street transactions. Less than 10% lawfully obtained their firearms. (Anecdotal data from my own time as a peace officer supports those findings.)

If Stokes can devise a licensing system that will induce those already prohibited persons to register and license themselves, and to comply with existing laws on firearms possession, I think he’ll have proven his thesis, and we can expand it to all Ameri…

-snort- -giggle-

Of course, he’ll also have to find a way to work around the Supreme Court’s HAYNES decision, which found that felons cannot be required to self-incriminate. A prohibited person applying for a firearms license would tend to do that.

Once he’s managed that, he should be able to address the compliance problem among once-lawful gun owners. In the 1990s, California saw a whopping 2.33% compliance rate with “assault weapon” registration. The NY SAFE Act yielded a slightly better 4.45% compliance rate. Connecticut gun owners are a little more obedient. That state saw a huge “assault weapon” registration 13.44% compliance rate, although they must have been disappointed with the “high capacity” magazine registration 4% compliance rate.

The compliance rate on California’s latest registration scheme should be interesting.

Of course, since no one knows how many firearms are out there, where they are, or who has them, determining compliance is going to be tough. Stokes might need to resort to Alison Airies’ proposal to use the NSA to monitor all Americans for firearms ownership indicators and search all suspects’ homes, with no-warrant follow-up searches and friskings.

Hey, if they’re going to rape the Second Amendment, they might as well scrap the First, Fourth, Fifth, Sixth, Eighth, Ninth, and Tenth. Then, when all the gun owners have been eliminated from their police state, they can over the empty homes, taking care of the Third.

And then there’s malicious compliance.

Somehow, these grand plans never take into account the old problem of inducing criminals to obey the law, before wasting money registering the tens of millions of people who are not the problem.


Carl is an unpaid TZP volunteer. If you found this post useful, please consider dropping something in his tip jar. He could use the money, what with truck repairs and bills.

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It’s only cognitive dissonance if you’re cognitive

…of the contradiction between this goal…

Arizona students plan to occupy state Capitol with ‘die-in’ for gun control
Students with the March for Our Lives movement said they plan to occupy several buildings at the Arizona Capitol on Friday to demand Gov. Doug Ducey support stricter gun-control laws.

…and this accompanying image.

March For Our Lives protesters demand “their lives and safety become a priority and that we end gun violence and mass shootings in our schools and communities” march at the Arizona State Capitol on Mar. 24, 2018 in Phoenix, Arizona.

Perhaps they’ve forgotten that it was a citizen shot by a cop that sparked the “Hands up, don’t shoot” BS, not a shooting by the people they want disarmed.


Carl is an unpaid TZP volunteer. If you found this post useful, please consider dropping something in his tip jar. He could use the money, what with truck repairs and bills.

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